≡ Menu

Game Theory Tips, The Science of Decision-Making, and Lori Loughlin’s Worst-Case Scenarios

The Nationwide College Entrance Exam Cheating Scandal.

 

 

 

A Self-Improvement, Self-Awareness, and Applied Game Theory Newsletter.

Helping you become more self-aware, intuitive, effective, efficient, precise, productive, honest, and successful

What is the meaning of life, and how can you use the power of politics to not only survive but prosper

Q. Tell me about Harrison’s Applied Game Theory (HAGT) and the concept of worst-case scenarios?

A. One of the most powerful aspects of HAGT is that it gives us the ability to see worst-case scenarios before they happen.

Let me explain. One of the trending stories on the internet this morning was

“Lori Loughlin Is ‘Terrified’ About Going to Prison amid COVID-19 Pandemic.” Just to give you a bit of background here,  Lori Anne Loughlin (born July 28, 1964) is a very successful American actress and producer. She is best known for her role as Rebecca Donaldson-Katsopolis on the ABC sitcom Full House (1988–1995) and its Netflix sequel Fuller House (2016–2019) and has acted in and produced many other television shows.

On March 12, 2019, Loughlin and her husband Mossimo Giannulli were arrested in connection with an alleged nationwide college entrance exam cheating scandal. They were charged with conspiracy to commit honest services mail fraud.[3] On May 22, 2020, Loughlin pleaded guilty to conspiracy to commit wire and mail fraud. On August 21, 2020, she was sentenced to two months in prison and to pay a $150,000 fine.

 

 

Now we all make mistakes in life and I take no pleasure in Ms. Loughlin’s situation. I actually wish her well in every way. Still, my good intentions do not erase the reality that every choice that Ms. Loughlin and her husband made seemed to ignore the very idea of game-based thinking and the concept of a worst-case scenario.

 

In your life, you are likely to be presented with a worst-case scenario (WCS). This is as good a reason as any to explore this idea.  A worst-case scenario is a concept in risk management wherein the planner, strategist, decision-maker, or tactician when planning for potential disasters, considers the most severe possible outcome that can reasonably be projected to occur in a given situation.

Conceiving of worst-case scenarios is a common form of strategic planning, specifically scenario planning, to prepare for and minimize contingencies that could result in accidents, quality problems, or other issues.

 

In Harrison’s Applied Game Theory (HAGT) this way of thinking is essential to avoiding unnecessary struggle since the worst-case scenario is a way to explore commonly used alternative scenarios that might arise. For instance, a risk-manager may request a low-risk estimate representing a worst-case scenario in to determine the best use of measurable, available resources, and the latitude that can be applied in planning steps to reduce risks.  Generally, a worst-case scenario is agreed upon through the collaborative intelligence within a HAGT Team at the Asklewis Project by concluding that a given worst case is bad enough. However, it is, important to recognize that no worst-case scenario is truly without potentially unexpected surprises, commonly called Black Swan Events.

In other words, a worst-case scenario (WCS) is just a word prison and a biased construct.  A WCS is never the worst case for a number of reasons.

  1. Situations may arise that no game theorist, planner, strategist or tactician could reasonably foresee,
  2. A given worst-case scenario is likely to consider only contingencies expected to arise in connection with a particular disaster, challenge, problem or constraint.

 

For example; The worst-case scenario devised by a seismologist might be a particularly bad earthquake, and the worst-case scenario devised by a meteorologist might be a particularly bad hurricane, but it is unlikely that either of them will devise a scenario where a particularly bad storm occurs at the same time as a particularly bad earthquake. Of course, this can happen. That’s what the book and movie “The Perfect Storm” a particularly bad or critical state of affairs, arising from a number of negative and unpredictable factors is about – a particularly bad or critical state of affairs, arising from a number of negative and unpredictable factors, many arising simultaneously.

 

Of course, keep in mind that the definition of a worst-case scenario varies by the field to which it is being applied. For many individuals, a worst-case scenario is one that would result in their own death or in the case of Lori Loughlin, going to jail in the time of a Pandemic.

How did Ms. Loughlin and her husband Giannulli end-up in this WCS? They were among 50 individuals charged by the FBI and U.S. Attorney’s Office for fraud- and bribery-related offenses on March 12, 2019, in a nationwide college entrance exam cheating scandal.

 

 

The indictment against the couple alleged that, disguised as a donation, they had paid $500,000 to the Key Worldwide Foundation so that the admissions committee of University of Southern California (USC) would believe their two daughters would join the women’s rowing team although neither had trained in the sport of rowing nor had plans in doing so. Essentially they lied, manipulated the system illegally, cheated, and assumed they would not get caught. Of course, if they understood the concept of gamer-thinking, Murphy’s Law, the ripple effect, and Bayesian probability they would have understood that in time they would most definitely get caught, or as we like to say in HAGT – “The truth you ignore will come back to bite you on the ass”.  Then, I guess due to some arrogance and poor legal advice they pleaded not guilty rather than just copping a plea as others in the same situation did. Those folks got a much smaller fine and a week or two in the slammer.

Much of Loughlin’s work in recent years has been with the Hallmark Channel an American pay television cable channel whose programming is primarily targeted at families, and features a mix of television movies and miniseries, with positive, motivating, inspiring, and moral messages…Opps. As a result of her bad behavior and legal trouble, the Hallmark Channel,  cut ties with Loughlin on March 14, 2019; and decided to edit out her scenes from season six of When Calls the Heart. On March 16, Netflix dropped her from Fuller House, and technology firm Hewlett-Packard announced it would remove Loughlin and her daughter Olivia Jade Giannulli from its advertising. Loughlin’s daughters were able to remain enrolled at USC, but Olivia Jade Giannulli, a social media influencer on YouTube and Instagram, lost a partnership with cosmetics firm Sephora, as well as sponsorships for her beauty channel and Instagram posts.

Loughlin and her husband were also named as defendants in a private class-action lawsuit brought on by Stanford University graduates, who allege their education and degrees have been devalued due to their school’s association with the case.

Going back to where we were before when speaking about smart strategies in worst-case scenarios. Loughlin and Giannulli were given a soft way out, yet they rejected a plea deal, including for the additional charge of money laundering, requiring both to spend two years in prison; on April 15 she pleaded not guilty.

On September 5, 2019, ET Online reported that there would be a Lifetime‘s movie The College Admissions Scandal.  One of the actresses involved  Mia Kirshner was quoted saying, “This story is about privilege and corruption and it’s about people who don’t follow the rules because they think they’re above rules… My character (based on Loughlin but named “Bethany” in the film) is so corrupt, greedy, narcissistic, self-centered, and the dialogue is hilarious, so I’m glad that they’re able to capture humor about this as well.”

On October 22, 2019, federal prosecutors said Loughlin is facing additional charges in the college admissions cheating scandal. US Attorney Andrew Lelling said Loughlin, is now being charged with conspiring “to commit federal program bribery by bribing employees of the University of Southern California (USC) to facilitate their children’s admission. In exchange for the bribes, employees of the university allegedly designated the defendants’ children as athletic recruits – with little or no regard for their athletic abilities – or as members of other favored admissions categories.”

The Conclusion to this Sad, and an educational tale for all Strategists, Gamer-Psychologists, and Students of Applied Game Theory

On May 22, 2020, Loughlin pleaded guilty to one count of conspiracy to commit wire and mail fraud, and her husband pleaded guilty to one count of conspiracy to commit wire and mail fraud and honest services wire and mail fraud. On August 21, 2020, Loughlin was sentenced to two months in prison while her husband was sentenced to five months.

I don’t wish to appear glib here, and I don’t wish Ms. Louglin or her family any harm. I hope this experience is useful in her life journey. Still, if she had hired a game theorist-results-oriented life coach, she likely would have made different choices than the ones she made.

Maybe this story gives us all something to think about.

 

Below is a Podcast on the same subject matter as this blog

Play button icon to hear the Podcast https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s1w7ncOpA1U&t=378s

 

 

 

 oooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo

We all have unexpected challenges in marriage. Do you know how to respond to these challenges?

Introducing Two Amazing Programs

to Help You Mend and Save Your Marriage

 

1. Mend the Marriage Program 2. Marriage A-Z and Beyond…

 

 

 

Are you struggling through the chaotic puzzle of your marriage?

 

Possibly you’re planning on getting married but don’t want to go in blind.

 

If you are married, do you bicker all the time, misunderstand each other, or not communicate at all?

 

Are you confused about what choices to make in order to move your daily lives from marriage hell, to love, kindness, nurturing, and respect, and do this together?

One of the most important tools for creating a successful marriage built on a foundation of happiness and harmony is a clear intention and a desire to make it work, in spite of the challenges.

 

Please don’t throw in the towel,  bailout, and call your lawyer yet.

 

Maybe you’ve convinced yourself there is no way to resolve your differences in order to save your marriage. Even so, there is hope that the issues in your marriage can be resolved.

 

If you are serious about making your marriage work we have two amazing programs to help you mend or save your marriage.

 

 Program #1

 

https://907dd7k3x0c9rffh01thw0s0bt.hop.clickbank.net/?tid=WEBPAGE_2

Now, let’s explore the first program – The Mend the Marriage Program.  This is an entry-level program that may offer you a viable solution to the problems plaguing your marriage and can help get your relationships back on track.

Through the principles offered in the Mend the Marriage Program you will be entering a portal to get your marriage on track. These principles will change your life, and by applying them you will manifest greater love and intimacy.

The guiding principles in the Mend the Marriage Program is like a pebble thrown into a pond. The ripple effect of that act can open the door to the type of marriage you hoped for on your wedding day.

What I am presenting to you here is a very special opportunity to save your marriage.

If you truly want to mend your marriage, then it is important that you take the next step by opening your heart and mind by exploring the Mend the Marriage Program.

Are you one of those individuals who wish to mend your marriage yet do not know where to begin? This is where the Mend the Marriage Program can be an invaluable guide. In these days of upheaval and uncertainty, with the divorce rate going through the roof, the Marriage Guru and his Mend the Marriage Program can show you the code to love, kindness, intimacy, and “togetherness.”

 I want to offer you valuable information on the Mend the Marriage Program. What I am here to share with you is a simple path to bring more love, intimacy, harmony, compassion, happiness, generosity of spirit and gratitude into your life.

Are you ready to mend and possibly, even save your marriage?

If the answer is “Yes”, I implore you, please watch a short video that will teach you more about how this simple program can change your marriage and life in so many wonderful ways.

Just to let you know, the “Get Instant Access!” button above contains affiliate links to products. We may receive a commission for purchases made through them.

To learn more click on the link below

 

Click here: https://907dd7k3x0c9rffh01thw0s0bt.hop.clickbank.net/?tid=WEBPAGE_2

https://907dd7k3x0c9rffh01thw0s0bt.hop.clickbank.net/?tid=WEBPAGE_2

 

Program #2

The second program is our advanced course

Marriage A-Z and Beyond.

To learn about this program and speak with a relationship coach 

Contact Us at:

LewisCoaches@ gmail.com

 

ooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo

We also invite you to read, our regular blogs on game theory, and follow our posts and vlogs throughout the social network:

ooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo

Sign up for our free daily newsletter. Click on the newsletter tab below. This will bring you to our master website at RealUGuru.com – Just look over to the right of the page and fill in your email address and join “The Lew Crew.” You get our regular, informative, motivational, inspirational, and factual, blogs, vlogs,  newsletters. and discount coupons.

 

Go to AskLewis.com

http://Asklewis.com

ooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo

Contact Information

 

Thanks for allowing me to share my knowledge with you. If you want to contact me,  simply drop me an email…

LewisCoaches@ gmail.com

The Game Theory Gamer Research Team

oooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo

I also invite you to read, my regular blogs on game theory, and follow my posts and vlogs throughout the social network:

ooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo

• If your interest is in starting your own online business, you may need training in how to use applied game theory to increase your SEO and Build Your Digital Marketing Program. A key element here is Creating Riches on YouTube. To learn about this approach click on the YouTube icon below and get free information..

https://8a5462thwabekc5iwfuyo6z13c.hop.clickbank.net/?tid=WEBPAGE11

Sign up for our free daily newsletter. Click on the newsletter tab below. This will bring you to our master website at RealUGuru.com – Just look over to the right of the page and fill in your email address and join “The Lew Crew.” You get our regular, informative, motivational, inspirational, and factual, blogs, vlogs,  newsletters. and discount coupons.

ooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo

Contact Information

Thanks for allowing me to share my knowledge with you. If you want to contact me,  simply drop me an email…

LewisCoaches@ gmail.com
The Game Theory Gamer Research Team

oooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo

The free video links on this page lead to various affiliate links for “for-fee” products. We may receive commissions for purchases made through those links.

oooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo

If you want to explore these ideas in greater depth you may want to place any of the following trending tags in your Google search line:

Lori Loughlin nationwide college entrance exam cheating scandal, what is a worst case scenario,  risk management experts and any risk manager planning for potential disasters, stategic, planning scenario planning, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4lzIPU0DSiU&t=19s, How to solve a problem through gamer psychology, problem solving worst case scenario, strategies for perfect storms, What are examples of self development, What do you mean by efficiency?,What do we mean by productivity, What does self improvement mean, What is the power efficiency, What is productivity and its importance, What is the efficiency formula, What is productivity example,What is productivity and types of productivity, What are examples of efficiency, How can we improve our self development, What is the scientific study of the biological bases of behavior and mental states called? What is applied game theory, Cause and Effect and Tips for success, Engineering and problem solving, Financial planning and Game Theory, Intuition and Life Coaching,  Results Oriented Life Coaching School, making decisions with game theory, The best Motivation books, Motivational Speaker, Personal Development courses, Tips on Problem Solving, Is self help a scam?, game theory and life coaching, The scientific method and game theory, Training for Life Coaches, Trouble shooting and How to solve problems, The different, How to apply game theory, Is game theory a scam, The Secret code for the Survivor Television Show, Types of knowledge, Wealth and Success tips, Does Self Help Work?, How can you improve yourself? Tips about successful strategic thinking, Understanding gamer psychology, game theory and video games, What are the 3 aspects of personal development? How can you improve yourself? What is meant by self-development? What is meant by personal development? Tips for personal growth, What do you mean by self-help?, What is 12 Steps?, What is Holistic Applied Game Theory?,  Courses on Business strategies, Courses on life strategies,
Liked it? Take a second to support Lewis Harrison on Patreon!